I'm back for 2016! |
Each week I give you five picks at -110 against the spread. You figure you spread your genius over 5 picks, you can feast (and you get a net win or loss every week). Point spreads by VegasInsider.com.
Opening week features a number of big out of conference matchups. The unpredictability of an opener might encourage one to lean toward underdogs. I look more for heavyweight matchups pegged close that I like the favorite.
Missouri (+10) at West Virginia
Saturday 9/3 Noon EDT
This is an SEC vs. Big 12 play. Both are middling teams in their conference and have key players being replaced. Seems like Missouri can keep it within a TD.
Southern Methodist (-12) at North Texas
Saturday 9/3 7:00 EDT
Battle of bad 2015 teams, but SMU was 2-10 in a much better conference than North Texas. North Texas was awful. SMU won by 17 last year and North Texas is in transition and Ponies coach Chad Morris has a one season head start. I can't possibly see this within two TD. Can't possibly.
Clemson (-7.5) at Auburn
Saturday 9/3 9:00 EDT
Clemson is one of the elite teams in 2016 (and 2015) and no reason to think they won't continue that. Auburn is not quite there yet. Seems like a double digit win is in the cards.
Notre Dame (-3.5) at Texas
Sunday 9/4 7:30 EDT
Notre Dame owns Texas (9-2, last loss 1970 Cotton bowl when Texas won the National Championship). You have a veteran team against the young Longhorns who will likely start a freshman QB and has no proven offensive weapons. Under a TD doesn't seem fair.
Florida State (-4.5) vs. Ole Miss (Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL)
Monday 9/5, 8:00 EDT
Neutral site game, but this should be a coming out party for the Seminoles. Favored by many to make the playoffs, the Seminoles should be poised for a TD win or more.
We'll keep our season total and report back the major haul we take!
-JR
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